Mark,
You appear to have a pretty good understanding of the system, however it is so very difficult to explain force-concepts with the written word. In the case of the rear flip, essentially as long as the rear axle is positioned lower than the rear flip's forward pivot point, the inward force created by the tracks rotation and resulting tension will push the rear flip to the "flat" position.
I have had cases where my pivot point has become damaged to the point that the axle ends up higher than the pivot point; when that happens, you lose track tension, you begin to ratchet, and as soon as you go for any amount of track speed or power, the rear flip tries to "stand up". Not fun.